Who knows? The pollsters are all over the map. The partisan Democratic pollsters are trying to manufacture a Democratic resurgence and failing. Most pollsters come up with a GOP take-over of the House, but not the Senate. The polling depends on historic turn out models. But these may not apply in 2010.

Conservatives are truly, madly, deeply distressed by the Obama administration’s action. They will all vote this time. Traditional Democrats will protest their lost jobs by staying home or voting GOP. Independents, who voted Obama, are likely to switch.

I’m not going out on a limb by predicting that the GOP will take the house. I am going out on a limb by predicting that the GOP will take the Senate because O’Donnell will win. How can she win? She has been so demonized by the left that a lot of people are scared to admit they support her or her agenda. But voting is different from responding to a poll. Maybe she wins.

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