McCain has surged and Obama has seen his lead slip away. His continued opposition to the surge, his Berlin speech, his poor performance at the Saddleback forum, his weak response on Russia’s invasion of Georgia, and the increased scrutiny of the man himself, have all contributed to his fall. It seems increasingly likely that Obama cannot win against McCain.

It would seem that the stage is set for the Clintons to stage a comeback at the Democratic convention. But the Democratic party cannot afford to let that happen. The African-American vote is going 90% for Obama. African-Americans will never forgive the Democrats if they steal the nomination from their man. Come election day, they’ll simply stay home, and Democrats across the board, who depend on African-American votes for their majorities, will also lose.

Call it the OJ effect.

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